← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jul 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Extremadura win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Numancia −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
| 22' | 🟨 | Óscar Pinchi · Extremadura |
| 38' | 🟨 | Adrián Castellano · Numancia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Extremadura |
| 68' | 🟨 | Curro · Numancia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Héctor Hernández · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nono · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 399.00 | 519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1420.95 | 1421.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.02 | -0.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 47.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 28.67 |
| state index | -0.90 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |