← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Jul 2, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Málaga CF win | 17% | 5.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 29' | 🟨 | Óscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 32' | 🟨 | — · Málaga CF |
| 33' | 🟨 | — · Málaga CF |
| 37' | 🟨 | Antonio Luna · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 41' | 🟨 | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Málaga CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | — · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 489.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1531.55 | 1510.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.25 | -5.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 51.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 4.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.11 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |