← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Jul 1, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.81 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | — · Fuenlabrada |
| 34' | 🟨 | Dani Fernández · Fuenlabrada |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ivi · Ponferradina |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luis Valcarce · Ponferradina |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jeisson Martínez · Fuenlabrada |
| 60' | ⚽ | Randy Nteka · Fuenlabrada |
| 64' | 🟨 | José León · Fuenlabrada |
| 69' | 🟨 | Oscar Sielva · Ponferradina |
| 87' | ⚽ | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 761.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1470.89 | 1480.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.49 | 12.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -1.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| league points | 51.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 63.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -2.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 28.74 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |