← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Jul 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Numancia win | 32% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Numancia +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.55 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Numancia |
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jaime Seoane · Lugo |
| 42' | 🟨 | Héctor Hernández · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 48' | ⚽ | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 61' | ⚽ | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Adrián Herrera · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oscar Castellano · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 30.00 | 396.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1395.74 | 1435.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.50 | -27.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 38.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.56 | 27.45 |
| state index | -1.13 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |