← Segunda División 2019 · Tue, Jun 30, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Elche CF win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz +0 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Elche CF +0 | 45% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.45 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Elche CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Cadiz |
| 52' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jorge Pombo · Cadiz |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jonathas · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 5 |
| 0 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 880.00 | 1551.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1498.91 | 1535.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.63 | -15.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 51.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 28.54 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.21 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |