← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.89 |
| Oviedo win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Oviedo +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.51 |
| Over | 35% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 24' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 33' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Héctor Hernández · Numancia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Numancia |
| 63' | 🟥 | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 393.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1424.80 | 1493.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -51.54 | 19.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 44.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 2.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 27.31 |
| state index | -1.31 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |