← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.97 |
| Mirandes win | 30% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Almeria +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 23' | ⚽ | Jon Guridi · Mirandes |
| 45' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 81' | 🟨 | Matheus Aiás · Mirandes |
| 84' | 🟨 | — · Mirandes |
| 84' | 🟨 | — · Mirandes |
| 84' | 🟥 | — · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iván Balliu · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ante Ćorić · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | — · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Costas · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Martín Merquelanz · Mirandes |
| coach days | 363.00 | 27.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1460.23 | 1536.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 44.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 50.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |