← Segunda División 2019 · Tue, Jun 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Extremadura win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Extremadura +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Álex Alegría · Extremadura |
| 24' | ⚽ | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
| 29' | 🟨 | Nono · Extremadura |
| 53' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Nono · Extremadura |
| 86' | 🟥 | Nono · Extremadura |
| 88' | 🟨 | Shinji Kagawa · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 508.00 | 570.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1414.93 | 1545.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.28 | -21.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.60 | 26.24 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |