← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jun 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
| Numancia win | 29% | 3.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Numancia |
| 17' | ⚽ | Sekou Gassama · Fuenlabrada |
| 19' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 19' | 🟨 | José Rodríguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 42' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Numancia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Sekou Gassama · Fuenlabrada |
| 64' | 🟨 | Cristian Glauder · Fuenlabrada |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jeisson Martínez · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Admonio · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 112.00 | 386.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1471.24 | 1444.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.14 | -54.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.63 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| league points | 45.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.90 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.93 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.51 | -1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |