← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jun 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Díaz de Mera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Extremadura win | 29% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Hicham Boussefiane · Málaga CF |
| 29' | ⚽ | Armando Sadiku · Málaga CF |
| 64' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 74' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 81' | 🟨 | Diego González · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 171.00 | 505.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1500.68 | 1410.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.77 | -3.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 40.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 5.01 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 27.72 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |