← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jun 20, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Almeria win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Jawad El Yamiq · Zaragoza |
| 12' | ⚽ | Arvin Appiah · Almeria |
| 13' | 🟨 | — · Zaragoza |
| 24' | 🟨 | David Costas · Almeria |
| 66' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 69' | ⚽ | Francisco Villalba · Almeria |
| 79' | 🟨 | Álex Blanco · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julián Delmás · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 567.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1563.91 | 1531.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.97 | -2.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 47.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 61.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 25.02 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |