← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Jun 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Numancia win | 31% | 3.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Numancia +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | José Mari · Cadiz |
| 36' | 🟨 | David Gil · Cadiz |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Curro · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jean-Pierre Rhyner · Cadiz |
| 48' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 86' | 🟥 | Alberto Perea · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Juan Cala · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 383.00 | 1539.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1453.97 | 1548.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.63 | -17.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -1.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 44.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |