← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Jun 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Las Palmas win | 22% | 4.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Almeria −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alberto de la Bella · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
| 61' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jonathan · Almeria |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ivan Barbero · Almeria |
| 86' | 🟨 | — · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 16.00 | 474.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1545.78 | 1445.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.36 | -27.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| league points | 53.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.70 | 29.62 |
| state index | 0.24 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |