← Segunda División 2019 · Mon, Jun 15, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Málaga CF win | 28% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Tenerife −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over | 34% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Málaga CF |
| 42' | 🟨 | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 44' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Málaga CF |
| 44' | 🟥 | Keidi Bare · Málaga CF |
| 64' | 🟨 | — · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lluis Lopez · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 30 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 197.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1489.44 | 1499.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.17 | -5.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 45.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 27.23 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |