← Segunda División 2019 · Mon, Jun 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Elche CF win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Javi Navarro · Ponferradina |
| 35' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Elche CF |
| 40' | 🟨 | — · Elche CF |
| 42' | ⚽ | Nino · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Franco Russo · Ponferradina |
| 63' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 66' | 🟨 | Franco Russo · Ponferradina |
| 67' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 72' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Ponferradina |
| 85' | 🟨 | Saúl Crespo · Ponferradina |
| 87' | 🟨 | Saúl Crespo · |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 30 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| 87' | 🟥 | Saúl Crespo · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Renê · Ponferradina |
| coach days | 745.00 | 865.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1461.52 | 1511.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.86 | 1.90 |
| eye test v1 | -1.37 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 44.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.62 | 27.15 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |