← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jun 14, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Albacete win | 32% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Albacete +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Darwin Núñez · Almeria |
| 62' | 🟨 | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 63' | 🟨 | Álvaro Jiménez · Albacete |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alberto Benito · Albacete |
| 88' | 🟨 | Álvaro Arroyo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 744.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1438.11 | 1536.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.97 | -21.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 35.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.98 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 25.23 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.99 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |