← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jun 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Numancia win | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Jon Guridi · Mirandes |
| 29' | ⚽ | Marcos André · Mirandes |
| 41' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Numancia |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Martín Merquelanz · Mirandes |
| 62' | 🟥 | Mickaël Malsa · Mirandes |
| 69' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 83' | ⚽ | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 349.00 | 379.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1463.39 | 1462.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.29 | -48.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 44.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.17 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |