← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Zaragoza win | 31% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0 | 54% | 1.77 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 46% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Málaga CF |
| 50' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Burgui · Zaragoza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Zaragoza |
| 86' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 67.00 | 463.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1526.22 | 1562.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.27 | 13.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| league points | 39.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 26.22 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |