← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Mar 8, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 50% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Elche CF win | 21% | 4.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Elche CF −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Mario Suárez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luis Advíncula · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 58' | ⚽ | Óscar Gil · Elche CF |
| 63' | 🟥 | Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 67' | ⚽ | Pere Milla · Elche CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Óscar Gil · Elche CF |
| 79' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Elche CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Antonio Milić · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 88' | ⚽ | Joni Montiel · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 🟨 |
| Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fidel · Elche CF |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 373.00 | 766.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1546.76 | 1502.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.21 | 4.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.76 |
| league points | 41.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.65 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.05 | 25.65 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |