← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 19% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.75 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Huesca −0.75 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Cristo González · Huesca |
| 19' | ⚽ | Shinji Okazaki · Huesca |
| 38' | 🟨 | Dani Raba · Huesca |
| 45' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 76' | 🟨 | Pedro López · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 280.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1535.31 | 1478.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.64 | -32.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 50.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 1.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 28.68 |
| state index | -0.31 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |