← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Oviedo win | 32% | 3.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Oviedo +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Rodri · Oviedo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Oviedo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Extremadura |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rodri · Oviedo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Lomotey · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 400.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1428.87 | 1463.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.52 | 2.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 34.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |