← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Mar 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Lugo win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cadiz +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Salvi · Cadiz |
| 25' | 🟥 | Alberto · Cadiz |
| 36' | ⚽ | Anthony Lozano · Cadiz |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jaime Seoane · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Marcos Mauro · Cadiz |
| 77' | 🟨 | Anthony Lozano · Cadiz |
| 81' | ⚽ | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 5.00 | 1435.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1419.09 | 1552.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.28 | -17.94 |
| eye test v1 | -1.73 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 33.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.50 | 28.46 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |