← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Numancia win | 25% | 3.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Numancia −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | — · Elche CF |
| 47' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 50' | 🟥 | Héctor Hernández · Numancia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 65' | ⚽ | Jonathas · Elche CF |
| 70' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 759.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1490.25 | 1488.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.52 | -29.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 40.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.23 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |