← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Feb 29, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.85 |
| Albacete win | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Albacete +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 32' | ⚽ | Yacine Qasmi · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mario Suárez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 44' | ⚽ | Pedro · Albacete |
| 68' | 🟨 | Óscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 73' | 🟨 | Pedro · Albacete |
| 73' | 🟨 | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 638.00 | 365.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1438.16 | 1548.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.33 | 4.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.89 |
| league points | 33.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |