← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Feb 29, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Díaz de Mera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Almeria win | 23% | 4.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 16' | ⚽ (og) | Nikola Maraš · Cadiz |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
| 60' | ⚽ | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alberto Perea · Cadiz |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jonathan · Almeria |
| 84' | 🟨 | David Costas · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Ramón de Carranza |
| coach days | 1429.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1544.65 | 1531.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.29 | -47.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 55.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.89 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 25.49 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |