← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Feb 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
| Extremadura win | 14% | 6.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura −1 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Huesca −1 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Nono · Extremadura |
| 22' | 🟨 | Mikel Rico · Huesca |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nono · Extremadura |
| 29' | ⚽ | Shinji Okazaki · Huesca |
| 51' | 🟨 | Cristian Rodríguez · Extremadura |
| 57' | 🟨 | Luisinho · Huesca |
| 64' | ⚽ | Shinji Okazaki · Huesca |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 76' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Extremadura |
| 88' | ⚽ | Álex Alegría · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 273.00 | 393.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1539.98 | 1424.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.70 | 9.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 49.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.26 | 27.86 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |