← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Feb 28, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Málaga CF win | 27% | 3.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Ismael Casas · Málaga CF |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ariday · Las Palmas |
| 44' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Málaga CF |
| 48' | ⚽ | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 66' | ⚽ | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 72' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aythami Artiles · Las Palmas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Javi Castellano · Las Palmas |
| 89' | 🟨 | Juanpi Añor · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 364.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.01 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1474.51 | 1525.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.25 | 13.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 5.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 27.18 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |