← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Feb 23, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Mirandes win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Extremadura −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | ⚽ | Victor Pastrana Carrasco · Extremadura |
| 56' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 59' | ⚽ | Antonio Sánchez · Mirandes |
| 61' | 🟨 | Modibo Sagnan · Mirandes |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jon Guridi · Mirandes |
| 74' | ⚽ | Matheus Aiás · Mirandes |
| 77' | ⚽ | Álex Alegría · Extremadura |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kike · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kike Carrasco · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matheus Aiás · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jose Antonio Pardo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 387.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1414.64 | 1459.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.23 | 2.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 30.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.98 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |