← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Feb 22, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Numancia win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Albacete −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Alex Sola · Numancia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Pedro · Albacete |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Numancia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pedro · Albacete |
| 73' | 🟨 | Héctor Hernández · Numancia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 80' | 🟨 | Chema Núñez · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 631.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1427.83 | 1499.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.88 | -8.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.35 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.93 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |