← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Feb 19, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Mirandes win | 32% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Zaragoza +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Javi Puado · Zaragoza |
| 36' | ⚽ | James Igbekeme · Zaragoza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Carlos Vigaray · Zaragoza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alexander González · Mirandes |
| 48' | ⚽ | Matheus Aiás · Mirandes |
| 55' | 🟨 | Kijera · Mirandes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Antonio Sánchez · Mirandes |
| 77' | 🟨 | Álvaro Peña · Mirandes |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mickaël Malsa · Mirandes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 233.00 | 445.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1458.41 | 1557.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.01 | 28.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 39.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.38 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 25.80 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |