← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Feb 16, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Díaz de Mera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Extremadura win | 19% | 5.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | José Antonio Ríos · Ponferradina |
| 32' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Extremadura |
| 40' | 🟨 | Alejandro Díez Salomón · Extremadura |
| 46' | 🟨 | Franco Russo · Ponferradina |
| 54' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Extremadura |
| 59' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 86' | 🟨 | Casto · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟥 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 625.00 | 380.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1460.70 | 1411.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.18 | -19.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.26 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 28.57 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |