← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Feb 15, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Las Palmas win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Numancia −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Benito Ramírez · Las Palmas |
| 59' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Curro · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 259.00 | 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1501.60 | 1470.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.87 | -31.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 43.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 64.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 26.88 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |