← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Feb 9, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Víctor Areces
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Numancia win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Numancia −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 28' | 🟨 | Juankar · Málaga CF |
| 33' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Numancia |
| 46' | 🟨 | Luis Hernández · Málaga CF |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Armando Sadiku · Málaga CF |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Héctor Hernández · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 39.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1496.07 | 1510.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.98 | 14.91 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |