← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Feb 9, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Oviedo win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Antonio Milić · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 28' | ⚽ | Rodri · Oviedo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 66' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Lolo González · Oviedo |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Leonardo Ulloa · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 79' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟥 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 345.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1537.92 | 1472.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.52 | 7.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 35.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.56 | 27.24 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |