← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Feb 9, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Ponferradina win | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Albacete −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over | 34% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Tomeu Nadal · Albacete |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 28' | 🟨 | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 38' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Albacete |
| 44' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Albacete |
| 57' | 🟨 | Son · Ponferradina |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jon Erice · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 618.00 | 618.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.15 | 1.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1425.89 | 1459.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.23 | 1.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 28.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 6.65 | 7.74 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.85 |
| state index | -1.14 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |