← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Tenerife win | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Extremadura −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Álex Alegría · Extremadura |
| 27' | ⚽ | Shaq Moore · Tenerife |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio Pardo · Extremadura |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Milla · Tenerife |
| 56' | 🟨 | Álex Alegría · Extremadura |
| 56' | 🟥 | Álex Alegría · Extremadura |
| 57' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Nono · Extremadura |
| 76' | ⚽ | Dani Gómez · Tenerife |
| 84' | ⚽ | Dani Gómez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| 90' | ⚽ | Óscar Pinchi · Extremadura |
| coach days | 372.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1427.03 | 1477.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.99 | 24.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 44.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 29.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 27.11 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |