← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Feb 2, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Albacete win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Albacete −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Jon Erice · Albacete |
| 40' | ⚽ | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Tomeu Nadal · Albacete |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Baldé · Oviedo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pedro · Albacete |
| 47' | 🟨 | Pedro · Albacete |
| 54' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Oviedo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 25 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Oviedo |
| coach days | 1.00 | 611.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 4.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1461.19 | 1437.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.19 | -46.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 26.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |