← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Feb 1, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 40% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Málaga CF win | 27% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Elche CF −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Pere Milla · Elche CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Miguel Cifuentes · Málaga CF |
| 60' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Elche CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 79' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 730.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1498.27 | 1508.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.02 | 2.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.38 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |