← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jan 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Mirandes win | 22% | 4.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Enric Franquesa · Mirandes |
| 33' | 🟨 | Carlos Julio Martinez · Mirandes |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 38' | 🟨 | Hicham Boussefiane · Málaga CF |
| 54' | ⚽ | Marcos André · Mirandes |
| 65' | ⚽ | Armando Sadiku · Málaga CF |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Martín Merquelanz · Mirandes |
| 89' | 🟨 | Diego González · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 25.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1512.24 | 1453.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.61 | 41.19 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 28.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 8.63 | 10.63 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 27.27 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |