← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jan 25, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Numancia win | 17% | 5.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Alberto Guitián · Zaragoza |
| 48' | 🟨 | Carlos Vigaray · Zaragoza |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alberto Soro · Zaragoza |
| 70' | ⚽ | Javi Puado · Zaragoza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Javi Puado · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 420.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1539.30 | 1518.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.98 | 31.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.81 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| league points | 42.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 10.98 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 27.16 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |