← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.38 |
| Lugo win | 11% | 9.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −1 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Lugo −1 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.82 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 32' | ⚽ | Alejandro López · Lugo |
| 47' | ⚽ | Rafa Mir · Huesca |
| 54' | ⚽ (og) | Marcelo Djaló · Huesca |
| 66' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Pedro Mosquera · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 238.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1567.68 | 1401.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.82 | -14.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 43.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |