← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jan 18, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 34% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Albacete win | 32% | 2.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Lugo +0 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Alberto Benito · Albacete |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 49' | 🟨 | Álvaro Jiménez · Albacete |
| 57' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 60' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Pedro · Albacete |
| 87' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 48.00 | 596.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1390.86 | 1458.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.03 | -28.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 2.93 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 27.20 |
| state index | -1.35 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |