← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Jan 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Tenerife win | 16% | 6.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Huesca −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 7' | ⚽ | Mikel Rico · Huesca |
| 18' | ⚽ | Miguelón · Huesca |
| 39' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 53' | 🟨 | Luisinho · Huesca |
| 77' | 🟨 | Shaq Moore · Tenerife |
| 83' | 🟨 | Isma López · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 228.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1563.76 | 1452.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.95 | -22.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.83 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 10.96 | 11.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 27.74 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |