← Segunda División 2019 · Tue, Jan 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Ponferradina win | 24% | 4.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Antoñin · Málaga CF |
| 18' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 22' | 🟨 | Renato Santos · Málaga CF |
| 49' | 🟨 | Pablo Trigueros Estrada · Ponferradina |
| 64' | 🟨 | Juanpi Añor · Málaga CF |
| 76' | 🟨 | Monir El Kajoui · Málaga CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dani Pacheco · Málaga CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nacho Gil · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 13.00 | 592.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1502.72 | 1460.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.41 | 14.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| league points | 24.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 10.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 26.86 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |