← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jan 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Málaga CF win | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Oviedo −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 26' | ⚽ | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 40' | 🟨 | Diego González · Málaga CF |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dani Pacheco · Málaga CF |
| 66' | 🟨 | Javi Mier · Oviedo |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Armando Sadiku · Málaga CF |
| 69' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Luis Hernández · Málaga CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 918.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1465.57 | 1502.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.76 | 4.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 15.04 | 15.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 26.25 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |