← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jan 5, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 24% | 4.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 35' | 🟨 | Eneko Bóveda · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 40' | 🟥 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Michele Somma · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Curro · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Barrio · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 218.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1509.05 | 1435.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.98 | -20.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 35.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 14.63 | 15.63 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 27.45 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |