← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Cadiz win | 31% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Cadiz +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luismi Quezada · Cadiz |
| 85' | 🟨 | Luismi Quezada · Cadiz |
| 85' | 🟥 | Luismi Quezada · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 582.00 | 1373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1458.94 | 1587.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.02 | -20.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 30.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 13.17 | 13.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.96 | 28.53 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |