← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jan 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Las Palmas win | 24% | 4.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 46% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Fabio González · Las Palmas |
| 35' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 58' | 🟨 | Hugo Fraile · Fuenlabrada |
| 72' | 🟨 | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 75' | 🟥 | Chico · Fuenlabrada |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 82' | 🟨 | Benito Ramírez · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto de la Bella · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 2712.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1537.23 | 1499.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.03 | 46.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.62 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.72 |
| league points | 37.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 12.79 | 13.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 30.18 | 28.07 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |