← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Dec 22, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Ponferradina win | 17% | 5.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Almeria −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 24' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Ponferradina |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Darwin Núñez · Almeria |
| 36' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 56' | ⚽ | Nacho Gil · Ponferradina |
| 61' | ⚽ | Francisco De La Manzanara · Ponferradina |
| 74' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 80' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fernando Martínez · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 51.00 | 569.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1563.13 | 1444.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.34 | -10.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.75 |
| league points | 36.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.67 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 27.12 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |