← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Numancia win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cadiz −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Alberto Perea · Cadiz |
| 38' | 🟨 | Alfonso Espino · Cadiz |
| 41' | ⚽ | Derik Osede · Numancia |
| 53' | 🟥 | Salvi · Cadiz |
| 57' | 🟨 | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 62' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Cadiz |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Curro · Numancia |
| 66' | ⚽ | Curro · Numancia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 77' | ⚽ | David Querol · Cadiz |
| 89' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Perea · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Ramón de Carranza |
| coach days | 1359.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1609.69 | 1486.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.76 | -8.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| league points | 46.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 26.37 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |